ANALISIS PENGARUH BELANJA DAERAH, PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, DAN TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN TERHADAP TINGKAT KEMISKINAN DI PROVINSI JAMBI

Abstract

This research is focused on exploring the trends in regional spending, economic advancement, unemployment statistics, and poverty rates, while also investigating how these elements impact poverty levels in Jambi Province from 2019 to 2024. The study utilizes secondary data sourced from reports by Badan Pusat Statistik and relevant organizations within Jambi Province. The analytical approaches employed are quantitative descriptive analysis and regression analysis using panel data. The findings reveal that regional spending has a notable negative impact on poverty rates in Jambi Province. This suggests that as regional spending increases, poverty rates tend to decrease. Economic growth appears to have no substantial effect on poverty levels, implying that the benefits of economic progress are not evenly shared across different segments of the population. Similarly, during the study's timeframe, the unemployment rate does not appear to significantly influence poverty. When considered together, regional expenditure, economic growth, and unemployment rate collectively exert a significant influence on poverty rates in Jambi Province. The Adjusted R² of 97. 8% demonstrates that these three factors account for a large portion of the variation in poverty levels, with the remaining percentage attributed to other influences not covered in this research. In light of these results, it is recommended that local authorities enhance the management of regional spending, particularly in areas that directly impact community well-being, to better support poverty alleviation initiatives in Jambi Province.